Monday, July 5, 2021

SPACE - S0 - 20210705 - The Solar-Heinrich Bond Cycle - #1 Paper of 2021

SPACE - S0 - 20210705 - The Solar-Heinrich Bond Cycle - #1 Paper of 2021

Good Morning, 0bservers!

    
     
Sorry I missed that X-Class flare yesterday, but thankful that the X-Class missed US. It came from a brand new sunspot group that literally developed on the departing lim before erupting. Solar wind speeds have been on a pretty steady decline since Saturday's report, dropping down to 300 KPS at midnight UTC before going back up a bit to the 340-350 KPS range at 1000 UTC. Particle Density had a steady but slight rise most of the past 36 hours, but actually jumped around the same time the wind speed increased before going back down. As to the Temperature, it's been lower than usual. The Phi Angle has been pretty screwed up, driven by a lot of polarity collisions showing up on the Bt/Bz chart. KP-Index readings remain mostly calm, primarily KP-1s and a few KP-0s, but we did have a KP-2 pop up at 0300 UTC. The Magnetometer continues to show a nominal sine wave pattern. Proton Flux and Electron Flux levels are also nominal. The X-Ray Flux is still a bit jumpy, with a low Class M flare early yesterday morning, and a low Class C flare around 1800 UTC. Background radiation seems to be heading downward to mid-to-low Class B. We're seeing a small coronal hole in the Northern mid-latitudes approaching the midpoint, but that's overshadowed by the rather large polar hole. That Class C flare appears to have come from the new incoming sunspot group which is below and to the left of the small coronal hole. The remainder of the sunspot groups have passed the centerline, but most of them are still in the "strike zone". The Magnetogram is pretty messy, though, with the most gnarly (yes, that is a scientific term) being in the South approaching the lim. That one's a Beta-Gamma-Delta, whereas the one in the North just above the equator looks like it's Beta, and the smaller trailing spot also appears to be Beta or Beta-Delta at worst. But, it's still growing, and the Visible Light image shows two negative spots so I'm going to go with Beta-Delta here.
  
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